Cuffelinks will not publish its usual original content this week due to the public holidays, but two important articles are featured in Cuffelinks Newsletter Edition 59 (photo is Howard Marks of Oaktree).
Using interactive graphics, we can model the impact of changing demographics on economic growth for all major countries. Will lower growth become the ‘new normal’ due to an ageing population?
If we expect government policies to deliver implausible growth when a demographic tailwind has become a headwind, we’ll have temporary ‘growth’ with debt-financed consumption, with longer term adverse consequences.
We focus far more on the return from our investments rather than the risk, and we should watch for leverage or high risk-taking and expect to be rewarded for it to pay for the added risk.
Investors should not shun bonds in their portfolios due to a misunderstanding about the potential for earnings to grow at least in line with inflation. Fixed income has a role in inflation risk management.
Tapering is the rate at which pensions reduce as other sources of income increase. A change is unlikely to make it onto Joe Hockey’s list of pensions amendments in the upcoming budget.
Noel Whittaker kindly did a great write up of Cuffelinks in his own newsletter, which led to a surge in new registrations. He said, “The people behind Cuffelinks have high integrity, top skills, a great reputation, and share my passion for financial education. I know you will gain a lot from becoming a subscriber.” Noel’s excellent free newsletter has been published for 15 years, and you can subscribe on noelwhittaker.com.au, where he also has several useful calculators.
After the age of 65, most people will spend over half of the rest of their lives with some disability or high level dependency. If ever you needed an incentive to save more and stay fit for your retirement, that has to be it.
The super industry has struggled to develop suitable post-retirement products to cater for increases in life expectancy. How would your own investing change if you knew you would live another 30 years after retiring?
The Senator’s ICAC appearance this week was a fascinating study into the responsibilities of a company director. Every current or aspiring director should read the verbatim discussion in this article.
With the market hitting a five-year high this week, it’s a good opportunity to pause and examine the performance of the 11 sectors that make up the ASX: what’s worked, what’s lagged and what’s just plodding along?
Individuals have their credit history checked by financiers whenever they apply for finance. Why isn’t there a way for retail investors to check the credentials of financial institutions before investing their money?
Australia in 2014 is the lowest taxed nation in the developed world. Facing ten years of budget deficits, is the Abbott Government unwilling to raise tax rates, or will Joe Hockey make us share the pain come budget time?
Obviously it’s best to sell high and buy low, but in the irrational world of stock markets, the past may offer little guide to the future. The most we can realistically expect is to learn how to tilt the odds in our favour.
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