Seasonal patterns: sell in May and go away?

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Should we “sell in May and go away” and what about renewed trade war fears?

Key points

> Seasonal patterns typically see shares do well from around November to May and not so well from May to November. This partly reflects a combination of tax loss selling in the US, new year cheer and the pattern of capital raising through the year.

> While we see shares doing well this year, right now they are vulnerable to a short-term pull back after strong gains since December. Renewed trade fears obviously don’t help.

 

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