It’s much easier to measure returns than the risk involved in generating those returns. Yet, it’s crucial to understand risk because in certain markets, higher returns may simply be coming from taking more risk.
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Everyone’s calling for the end of the long bull-run in equities. But we don’t know if the end is a few months or a few years away, and technological change is so vast that historical lessons need to be tempered.
The phrase ‘Lucky Country’ was coined to be pejorative, but Australia has managed to acquire wealth and income equality well beyond expectations bestowed on it by chance.
A ‘Goldilocks economy’ is one which runs neither too hot nor too cold. A combination of steady global growth, benign inflation and easy monetary conditions is carrying share markets to higher levels.
The widely-quoted Shiller P/E measure of the S&P500 now stands well above its long-term average, but is this a reliable signal that the US market is seriously overpriced?
US small business expectations are high under a Trump presidency but reality and fundamentals rather than sentiment will need to kick-in soon to justify recent market gains.
Opinion piece on why deflation or low inflation is dangerous and compromises central bank policies. Radical strategies may be necessary to steer better economic growth and certainty.
There were two camps in the ‘leave’ campaign, and the one negotiating with the EU should be pro-immigration. While this increases the chance of the UK retaining access to the common market, will the other camp allow flexibility?